Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
72 Georgia St. 0.0%   23 - 8 17 - 1 23 - 8 17 - 1 +7.2      +6.8 28 +0.4 156 65.5 238 +5.1 98 +13.4 1
122 Louisiana 100.0%   14   20 - 11 11 - 7 20 - 11 11 - 7 +3.1      +3.8 81 -0.6 191 76.8 22 +3.6 121 +0.4 3
161 Arkansas St. 0.0%   17 - 13 10 - 8 17 - 13 10 - 8 +0.3      +0.9 152 -0.5 187 72.2 73 -0.2 169 -0.7 4
181 Western Kentucky 0.0%   19 - 12 12 - 6 19 - 12 12 - 6 -1.0      -2.3 236 +1.3 136 66.1 221 +1.9 138 +2.4 2
216 Texas Arlington 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 9 13 - 17 9 - 9 -3.1      +0.4 164 -3.5 263 75.4 36 -2.2 199 -1.7 6
222 Arkansas Little Rock 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 9 13 - 17 9 - 9 -3.4      -3.1 260 -0.3 179 72.1 77 -2.2 200 -1.6 5
243 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   9 - 17 7 - 11 9 - 17 7 - 11 -4.5      -4.7 283 +0.2 166 62.3 304 -4.1 235 -4.3 7
248 Troy 0.0%   9 - 20 6 - 12 9 - 20 6 - 12 -4.7      -1.6 215 -3.0 251 64.5 265 -7.3 278 -5.8 8
250 South Alabama 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 13 8 - 20 5 - 13 -4.7      -2.8 248 -2.0 224 67.0 194 -6.3 270 -7.3 9
276 Texas St. 0.0%   6 - 23 4 - 14 6 - 23 4 - 14 -6.3      -6.9 320 +0.6 154 61.0 327 -9.7 307 -8.8 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Georgia St. 1.0 100.0
Louisiana 3.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 4.0 100.0
Western Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 5.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 5.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 7.0 100.0
Troy 8.0 100.0
South Alabama 9.0 100.0
Texas St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Georgia St. 17 - 1 100.0
Louisiana 11 - 7 100.0
Arkansas St. 10 - 8 100.0
Western Kentucky 12 - 6 100.0
Texas Arlington 9 - 9 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 9 - 9 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 7 - 11 100.0
Troy 6 - 12 100.0
South Alabama 5 - 13 100.0
Texas St. 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Georgia St. 100.0% 100.0
Louisiana
Arkansas St.
Western Kentucky
Texas Arlington
Arkansas Little Rock
Louisiana Monroe
Troy
South Alabama
Texas St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 5.3 69.0 25.7
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 10.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 10.0% 0.1 90.0 10.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0